Surface confidence lane state in template status

UnrealHyperTwist/Source/UnrealHyperTwist/Private/HyperTwistTraining/HyperTwistCoachDashboardWidget.cpp

@@ -130,6 +130,11 @@ namespace HyperTwistCoachDashboardWidgetInternal
 		const TCHAR* SubjectLabel
 	);
 
+	FString BuildTemplateLaunchComparablePeerConfidenceStatusClause(
+		const FHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchSelectionProvenance* SelectionProvenance,
+		const FHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchScopedStats* TemplateStats
+	);
+
 	bool HasTemplateLaunchComparablePeerEvidenceForConfidenceBonus(
 		const FHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchScopedStats* TemplateStats,
 		int32* OutComparablePeerOutcomeRuns = nullptr,
@@ -710,6 +715,56 @@ namespace HyperTwistCoachDashboardWidgetInternal
 		);
 	}
 
+	FString BuildTemplateLaunchComparablePeerConfidenceStatusClause(
+		const FHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchSelectionProvenance* SelectionProvenance,
+		const FHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchScopedStats* TemplateStats
+	)
+	{
+		if (SelectionProvenance == nullptr
+			|| SelectionProvenance->ReasonClass
+				!= EHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchSelectionReasonClass::AnalyticsTieBreak
+			|| SelectionProvenance->AnalyticsSupportKind
+				!= EHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchSelectionAnalyticsSupportKind::
+					TemplateScopedOutcomeSignal)
+		{
+			return FString();
+		}
+
+		if (TemplateStats == nullptr || !TemplateStats->IsStructurallyValid())
+		{
+			return TEXT("Broader analytics pick; split-confidence lane has no retained comparable-peer confidence lane yet.");
+		}
+
+		int32 ComparablePeerOutcomeRuns = 0;
+		int32 SplitConfidenceOutcomeRuns = 0;
+		int32 PeerNoEvidenceOutcomeRuns = 0;
+		float ComparablePeerOutcomeShare = 0.0f;
+		const bool bGuardEarned = HasTemplateLaunchComparablePeerEvidenceForConfidenceBonus(
+			TemplateStats,
+			&ComparablePeerOutcomeRuns,
+			&SplitConfidenceOutcomeRuns,
+			&ComparablePeerOutcomeShare,
+			&PeerNoEvidenceOutcomeRuns
+		);
+		if (bGuardEarned)
+		{
+			return FString::Printf(
+				TEXT("Broader analytics pick; split-confidence lane is already confidence-eligible for future reinforcement on comparable-peer-backed history (%d/%d outcomes, share %.2f)."),
+				ComparablePeerOutcomeRuns,
+				SplitConfidenceOutcomeRuns,
+				ComparablePeerOutcomeShare
+			);
+		}
+
+		return FString::Printf(
+			TEXT("Broader analytics pick; split-confidence lane is still suppressed by peer-no-evidence-heavy history (%d/%d comparable-peer outcomes, share %.2f; peer-no-evidence %d)."),
+			ComparablePeerOutcomeRuns,
+			SplitConfidenceOutcomeRuns,
+			ComparablePeerOutcomeShare,
+			PeerNoEvidenceOutcomeRuns
+		);
+	}
+
 	FString BuildTemplateLaunchSelectionAnalyticsSupportDetailFragment(
 		const FHyperTwistTrainingTemplateLaunchSelectionProvenance* SelectionProvenance
 	)
@@ -12626,6 +12681,13 @@ void UHyperTwistCoachDashboardWidget::UpdateDashboardPresentation()
 				? &PreferredTemplateLaunchSelectionProvenance
 				: nullptr
 		);
+	const FString PreferredTemplateLaunchComparablePeerConfidenceStatusClause =
+		HyperTwistCoachDashboardWidgetInternal::BuildTemplateLaunchComparablePeerConfidenceStatusClause(
+			PreferredTemplateLaunchSelectionProvenance.IsStructurallyValid()
+				? &PreferredTemplateLaunchSelectionProvenance
+				: nullptr,
+			PreferredTemplateLaunchStats
+		);
 	const bool bCanLaunchPreferredTemplate =
 		!bHasLiveAttemptTimer && !bHasActiveRun && bHasPreferredTemplateLaunch;
 	FString TemplateLaunchStatusLine;
@@ -12669,6 +12731,11 @@ void UHyperTwistCoachDashboardWidget::UpdateDashboardPresentation()
 				PreferredTemplateLaunchStats)
 		);
 	}
+	if (!PreferredTemplateLaunchComparablePeerConfidenceStatusClause.IsEmpty())
+	{
+		TemplateLaunchStatusLine += TEXT(" ");
+		TemplateLaunchStatusLine += PreferredTemplateLaunchComparablePeerConfidenceStatusClause;
+	}
 	FString TemplateLaunchDetailLine;
 	if (!bHasPreferredTemplateLaunch)
 	{

docs/arch/HYPERTWIST_PHASE4_TEMPLATE_LAUNCH_STATUS_CONFIDENCE_LANE_PACKET_2026-05-07.md

@@ -0,0 +1,61 @@
+# HyperTwist Phase 4 template launch status confidence-lane packet
+
+Created on `2026-05-07`
+
+Status:
+
+- first-party HyperTwist packet
+- bounded Phase `4` dashboard status-line slice
+
+## Purpose
+
+This packet moves the comparable-peer confidence-lane result up into the live `[Template Launch]` status sentence itself. Before launch, an operator can now see in one line whether the preferred template is winning on broader analytics while its split-confidence lane is already eligible for future reinforcement or is still being suppressed by peer-no-evidence-heavy history.
+
+## Scope
+
+Bounded lane:
+
+- add a concise status-clause formatter for comparable-peer confidence state
+- only emit that clause when the preferred template was chosen by the broader `TemplateScopedOutcomeSignal` analytics tie-break path
+- append the clause to the existing live template-launch status sentence without widening persisted provenance or dashboard layout
+
+Out of scope:
+
+- changing selector policy or thresholds
+- changing the long-form detail/recap/history analytics fragments
+- widening repo aggregation
+- adding another dashboard section
+
+## What landed
+
+Primary code changes:
+
+- `UnrealHyperTwist/Source/UnrealHyperTwist/Private/HyperTwistTraining/HyperTwistCoachDashboardWidget.cpp`
+  - added a short comparable-peer confidence status formatter
+  - when the preferred template is an analytics tie-break winner on broader outcome signal, the live status sentence now says whether the template's split-confidence lane is:
+    - already `confidence-eligible` for future reinforcement on comparable-peer-backed history
+    - or still `suppressed` by peer-no-evidence-heavy history
+  - the status clause includes comparable-peer outcome count/share and peer-no-evidence count
+
+## Product effect
+
+The operator no longer has to open detail text to understand the preferred template's confidence posture:
+
+- the live `[Template Launch]` status line itself now explains the current confidence-lane state for broader-analytics winners
+- the status sentence stays unchanged for primary-priority picks and `SelectorSplitConfidence` picks
+
+## Acceptance criteria
+
+- live template-launch status sentence includes comparable-peer confidence posture for broader outcome-signal analytics winners
+- status sentence distinguishes `confidence-eligible` from `suppressed`
+- status sentence includes comparable-peer count/share and peer-no-evidence count
+- full product build succeeds
+
+## Validation checklist
+
+1. build `UnrealHyperTwist.sln` / `UnrealHyperTwistEditor`
+2. confirm broader outcome-signal preferred-template status includes the confidence-lane clause
+3. confirm primary-priority and `SelectorSplitConfidence` status sentences remain unchanged
+4. confirm the clause distinguishes confidence-eligible vs suppressed with counts
+
+That is the packet.