feat(router): add trained capability cards and rule calibration

This commit is contained in:
Tin Chi Lo 2026-09-14 16:27:29 -07:00
parent 9a664bd4be
commit bbf196bea0
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# Experimental Auto Router training snapshots
These opt-in profiles compare the original cards, a research-informed card rewrite, and cards with training-derived capability priors. They also compare raw probabilities, per-model logit calibration, and regularized task-dependent logit calibration. The router makes one judge call; all learned probability adjustments and threshold comparisons run locally
The sample proxy configuration requires a build containing this PR. It does not change the default classifier or its configuration
## Run a profile
Set `ROI_GATEWAY_BASE_URL` to your gateway's OpenAI-compatible URL ending in `/v1`, `ROI_GATEWAY_API_KEY` to your gateway key, and `ROI_LOCAL_MASTER_KEY` to a separate local proxy key. Start the proxy from the repository root
```sh
uv run litellm --config cookbook/auto_router_roi_training/proxy.yaml --port 4000
```
Send your benchmark's first task request using one of these model aliases. Pin that selected solver for the whole attempt when comparing against the task-level experiment
| Model pair | Zero observed validation loss | Two-point validation allowance | Five-point validation allowance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonnet 5 / Opus 5, high effort | `roi-sonnet-opus-validation-regret-0` | `roi-sonnet-opus-validation-regret-0p02` | `roi-sonnet-opus-validation-regret-0p05` |
| GPT-5.6 Luna / Sol, high effort | `roi-luna-sol-validation-regret-0` | `roi-luna-sol-validation-regret-0p02` | `roi-luna-sol-validation-regret-0p05` |
```sh
curl http://localhost:4000/v1/chat/completions \
-H "Authorization: Bearer $ROI_LOCAL_MASTER_KEY" \
-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
-d '{"model":"roi-luna-sol-validation-regret-0","messages":[{"role":"user","content":"Describe your complete coding task here"}]}'
```
`profiles.json` contains the exact cards, coefficients, thresholds and validation results for each alias. `manifest.json` records model versions, effort, sources and limitations. `training_records.jsonl` retains the numerical forecasts and paired outcome evidence used for fitting and selection
## What was fitted
DeepSWE v1.1 supplies 113 tasks, with repeated attempts for each solver. We split repositories into 83 training tasks and 30 validation tasks. Within each task, repeated outcomes are averaged; each task receives equal fitting weight. Missing bills remain missing and are excluded as matched pairs only from cost calculations
The trained cards add overall and language-level success priors computed exclusively on the training split. Language means receive eight pseudo-tasks of shrinkage toward the overall mean. A separate research card tests qualitative changes to the capability rules and model profiles
Post-processing uses `sigmoid(intercept + slope * logit(raw_p) + matching_task_offsets)`. The slope is positive. Task offsets use the capability rule for the capability classifier, or the reasoning, scope, specification and verification labels for V2. Training minimizes logistic cross-entropy against task success rates, with regularization strengths 1, 10 and 100. The intercept is unpenalized, the slope receives one tenth of the task-offset penalty, and offsets are bounded to [-5, 5]
Cards, calibration variants and boundaries are selected on validation. Boundary candidates are rounded to four decimal places. The objective minimizes mean solver cost plus judge cost within each declared validation quality allowance. The values in an alias name are selection constraints, not guaranteed production quality losses. A tuned V2 gap such as 0.1649 is the fitted policy boundary; it does not establish a sixteen-point real-world loss
## Interpreting the result
The raw model probabilities and calibrated probabilities are separate outputs. Better average calibration does not establish better task ranking or lower routing cost. The selected configuration can retain an original card or omit calibration when those alternatives performed better
These are small-sample experimental snapshots. Model, judge, prompt, effort, task distribution and harness changes can invalidate the coefficients. Published DeepSWE outcomes use different budgets and serving configurations from the live SWE-bench pilot, so that pilot measures transfer. Zero observed validation loss is a point estimate, not statistical noninferiority
The capability classifier uses an absolute efficient-model probability threshold plus its boundary step. V2 compares the two models' predicted probabilities. Their threshold values have different meanings and should not be copied between classifiers

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{
"version": "roi-20260914",
"scope": "Experimental opt-in snapshots, not production defaults",
"training": {
"dataset": "DeepSWE v1.1",
"train_tasks": 83,
"validation_tasks": 30,
"split": "repository-disjoint",
"task_revision": "0b9fabbb63b9104d678fe965e1632f2dd9eaa2ea",
"task_source": "https://github.com/datacurve-ai/deep-swe/tree/0b9fabbb63b9104d678fe965e1632f2dd9eaa2ea",
"outcomes_source": "https://deepswe.datacurve.ai/artifacts/v1.1/trials.json",
"repeats": "Average success across recorded attempts per task; tasks have equal fitting weight"
},
"judge": {
"model": "openai/gpt-5.6-luna",
"reasoning_effort": "low",
"max_completion_tokens": 2048
},
"solver_effort": "high",
"frozen_selection_sha256": "ba2b00700aa338080077936a1fd794fd3bfa85fde28baef1fc5560f319ab1f32",
"training_forecasts_sha256": "67ef5c8fcd76ff6257468a3bd4c27cb7e27e0514ad0a037bd81e5b7d2e0b1508",
"selection": "Lowest validation inference cost plus measured judge cost at each declared quality regret budget",
"interpretation": "Validation regret budgets are policy choices, not fitted probabilities or live noninferiority guarantees. Coefficients and thresholds are specific to the named model pair, judge, cards and task protocol. DeepSWE to SWE-bench transfer is evaluated separately.",
"limits": [
"83 fitting tasks and 30 validation tasks support only exploratory estimates",
"Published training outcomes use different task budgets and serving configurations from the live pilot",
"Missing training cost records remain missing and are excluded as pairs only from cost metrics",
"Luna/Sol profiles have public-data validation only unless a corresponding fresh live evaluation is listed",
"Training retains the source included_in_score filter; excluded provider/infrastructure failures are not modeled as solver failures"
]
}

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{
"sonnet_opus_validation_regret_0": {
"selection": {
"key": "cap_sonnet_opus_trained_card_none_0",
"definition_id": "cap_sonnet_opus_trained_card",
"classifier": "cap",
"pair": "sonnet_opus",
"variant": "trained_card",
"adjustment": "none",
"alpha": 0.0,
"boundary": {
"base_threshold": 0.5,
"threshold_step": 0.0
},
"validation": {
"quality": 0.6666666666666666,
"capable_quality": 0.6666666666666666,
"quality_difference": 0.0,
"cost": 6.12658085375,
"capable_cost": 6.126236435416667,
"efficient_fraction": 0.0,
"savings": -5.622021561912938e-05,
"solver_cost": 6.126236435416667,
"judge_cost": 0.00034441833333333325
},
"calibration_metrics": {
"efficient": {
"brier_against_task_rate": 0.16733333333333336,
"log_loss": 0.761216678402628,
"mean_prediction": 0.35500000000000004,
"observed_mean": 0.5416666666666666
}
},
"validation_ids": [
"adaptix-name-mapping-aliases",
"arcane-drift-detection-baselines",
"arktype-json-schema-refs-dependencies",
"claude-code-by-agents-recursive-delegation",
"effect-sse-httpapi-streaming",
"goreleaser-retry-publish-auditing",
"gql-incremental-graphql-delivery",
"helm-array-merge-strategies",
"helm-unified-manifest-stream",
"ink-grid-box-layout",
"kgateway-consistent-hash-policy",
"narwhals-rolling-window-suite",
"obsidian-linter-auto-table-of-contents",
"obsidian-linter-link-format-conversion",
"obsidian-linter-scoped-ignore-markers",
"opa-rego-rule-profiling",
"opa-template-string-reconstruction",
"prometheus-transactional-reload-status",
"prometheus-typed-label-sorting",
"returns-validated-error-accumulation",
"sql-formatter-bigquery-pipe-formatting",
"sqlfmt-create-table-ddl-formatting",
"tengo-callable-instance-isolation",
"tengo-destructuring-bindings",
"testem-bail-on-test-failure",
"testem-per-launcher-reports",
"textual-kitty-key-phases",
"textual-richlog-follow-state",
"vitest-duration-sharding",
"ytt-jsonpath-query-api"
],
"cost_complete_tasks": 30,
"allowed_loss": 0.0,
"fitted": {
"efficient": {
"adjustment": "none",
"categories": [],
"coefficients": [
0.0,
1.0
],
"alpha": 0.0
}
}
},
"complexity_router_config": {
"classifier_type": "capability",
"classifier_llm_config": {
"model": "router-judge",
"timeout_ms": 30000,
"reasoning_effort": "low"
},
"tiers": {
"SIMPLE": [
"claude-sonnet-5"
],
"REASONING": [
"claude-opus-5"
]
},
"adaptive": false,
"route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier": false,
"escalation_keywords": [],
"plan_mode_min_tier": null,
"enable_context_window_escalation": false,
"return_raw_model_name": true,
"max_tokens_from_tier_model": false,
"capability_classifier_config": {
"efficient_tier": "SIMPLE",
"capable_tier": "REASONING",
"max_output_tokens": 2048,
"base_threshold": 0.5,
"threshold_step": 0.0,
"card": {
"version": "roi-20260914-cap_sonnet_opus_trained_card",
"text": "- SUP-1 [supported]: A bounded transformation has explicit inputs, outputs and accessible checks covering its material requirements; merely mentioning tests does not establish coverage.\n- SUP-2 [supported]: Relevant repository state can be inspected and a localized repair mechanism can be verified; repository size, familiar terminology and file count are not difficulty proxies.\n- SUP-3 [supported]: Numerical or typed behavior has explicit interfaces, edge cases and tolerances, and the solver can validate the core computation; a test harness does not solve an unknown algorithm.\n- SUP-4 [supported]: The failure mechanism and search boundary are supplied or readily inspectable, and the requested change fits the configured solver; multiple mechanical edits need not require stronger reasoning.\n- SUP-5 [supported]: Behavioral reproduction has an accessible executable reference or complete specification covering edge cases; hidden grading alone is not such a reference.\n- UNC-1 [uncertain]: Material semantic choices or interacting invariants remain unresolved, so several plausible implementations could differ in correctness.\n- UNC-2 [uncertain]: The task requires completeness across coupled paths, asynchronous state, schemas or compatibility surfaces without a clear search boundary or sufficient visible coverage.\n- LIM-1 [unsupported]: Exact information must be recovered from noisy visual or temporal media without an available reliable extraction mechanism.\n- LIM-2 [unsupported]: Success requires inaccessible reference behavior, undocumented state or unknown configuration. Such obstacles may defeat either solver; unsupported does not imply capable success.\n\nConfigured solver: Claude Sonnet 5 at high effort is a general coding solver. Evaluate its fit to the actual mechanism and scope. Clear instructions and runnable tests help, but do not establish complete coverage or guarantee success. Large repository size alone is not difficult scope. Public research does not establish a universal Sonnet advantage for a task family.\nTraining evidence: 83 distinct DeepSWE tasks, repeated attempts averaged within task; mean success 0.461. go: 23 tasks, success estimate shrunk toward the overall mean 0.425. python: 27 tasks, success estimate shrunk toward the overall mean 0.477. rust: 5 tasks, success estimate shrunk toward the overall mean 0.437. typescript: 25 tasks, success estimate shrunk toward the overall mean 0.483. These are task-family priors from a different budget/configuration, not the probability for this request. Use visible demands to update them. Do not identify or recall a benchmark task or its published answer.\nHarness: mini-SWE-agent 2.0.0, Linux shell, repository inspection and edits, existing tests and self-written reproductions; one fresh attempt, high native reasoning effort, 150 model calls and USD 5 inference limit. Final hidden tests are unavailable to the solver. No retry or inherited patch from another model.",
"empirical": true
}
}
}
},
"sonnet_opus_validation_regret_0.02": {
"selection": {
"key": "cap_sonnet_opus_research_none_0",
"definition_id": "cap_sonnet_opus_research",
"classifier": "cap",
"pair": "sonnet_opus",
"variant": "research",
"adjustment": "none",
"alpha": 0.0,
"boundary": {
"base_threshold": 0.72,
"threshold_step": 0.0
},
"validation": {
"quality": 0.65,
"capable_quality": 0.6666666666666666,
"quality_difference": -0.016666666666666666,
"cost": 6.104486446666665,
"capable_cost": 6.126236435416667,
"efficient_fraction": 0.03333333333333333,
"savings": 0.003550301882614515,
"solver_cost": 6.104119028333332,
"judge_cost": 0.00036741833333333326
},
"calibration_metrics": {
"efficient": {
"brier_against_task_rate": 0.12371333333333336,
"log_loss": 0.6694236897841436,
"mean_prediction": 0.5456666666666667,
"observed_mean": 0.5416666666666666
}
},
"validation_ids": [
"adaptix-name-mapping-aliases",
"arcane-drift-detection-baselines",
"arktype-json-schema-refs-dependencies",
"claude-code-by-agents-recursive-delegation",
"effect-sse-httpapi-streaming",
"goreleaser-retry-publish-auditing",
"gql-incremental-graphql-delivery",
"helm-array-merge-strategies",
"helm-unified-manifest-stream",
"ink-grid-box-layout",
"kgateway-consistent-hash-policy",
"narwhals-rolling-window-suite",
"obsidian-linter-auto-table-of-contents",
"obsidian-linter-link-format-conversion",
"obsidian-linter-scoped-ignore-markers",
"opa-rego-rule-profiling",
"opa-template-string-reconstruction",
"prometheus-transactional-reload-status",
"prometheus-typed-label-sorting",
"returns-validated-error-accumulation",
"sql-formatter-bigquery-pipe-formatting",
"sqlfmt-create-table-ddl-formatting",
"tengo-callable-instance-isolation",
"tengo-destructuring-bindings",
"testem-bail-on-test-failure",
"testem-per-launcher-reports",
"textual-kitty-key-phases",
"textual-richlog-follow-state",
"vitest-duration-sharding",
"ytt-jsonpath-query-api"
],
"cost_complete_tasks": 30,
"allowed_loss": 0.02,
"fitted": {
"efficient": {
"adjustment": "none",
"categories": [],
"coefficients": [
0.0,
1.0
],
"alpha": 0.0
}
}
},
"complexity_router_config": {
"classifier_type": "capability",
"classifier_llm_config": {
"model": "router-judge",
"timeout_ms": 30000,
"reasoning_effort": "low"
},
"tiers": {
"SIMPLE": [
"claude-sonnet-5"
],
"REASONING": [
"claude-opus-5"
]
},
"adaptive": false,
"route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier": false,
"escalation_keywords": [],
"plan_mode_min_tier": null,
"enable_context_window_escalation": false,
"return_raw_model_name": true,
"max_tokens_from_tier_model": false,
"capability_classifier_config": {
"efficient_tier": "SIMPLE",
"capable_tier": "REASONING",
"max_output_tokens": 2048,
"base_threshold": 0.72,
"threshold_step": 0.0,
"card": {
"version": "roi-20260914-cap_sonnet_opus_research",
"text": "- SUP-1 [supported]: A bounded transformation has explicit inputs, outputs and accessible checks covering its material requirements; merely mentioning tests does not establish coverage.\n- SUP-2 [supported]: Relevant repository state can be inspected and a localized repair mechanism can be verified; repository size, familiar terminology and file count are not difficulty proxies.\n- SUP-3 [supported]: Numerical or typed behavior has explicit interfaces, edge cases and tolerances, and the solver can validate the core computation; a test harness does not solve an unknown algorithm.\n- SUP-4 [supported]: The failure mechanism and search boundary are supplied or readily inspectable, and the requested change fits the configured solver; multiple mechanical edits need not require stronger reasoning.\n- SUP-5 [supported]: Behavioral reproduction has an accessible executable reference or complete specification covering edge cases; hidden grading alone is not such a reference.\n- UNC-1 [uncertain]: Material semantic choices or interacting invariants remain unresolved, so several plausible implementations could differ in correctness.\n- UNC-2 [uncertain]: The task requires completeness across coupled paths, asynchronous state, schemas or compatibility surfaces without a clear search boundary or sufficient visible coverage.\n- LIM-1 [unsupported]: Exact information must be recovered from noisy visual or temporal media without an available reliable extraction mechanism.\n- LIM-2 [unsupported]: Success requires inaccessible reference behavior, undocumented state or unknown configuration. Such obstacles may defeat either solver; unsupported does not imply capable success.\n\nConfigured solver: Claude Sonnet 5 at high effort is a general coding solver. Evaluate its fit to the actual mechanism and scope. Clear instructions and runnable tests help, but do not establish complete coverage or guarantee success. Large repository size alone is not difficult scope. Public research does not establish a universal Sonnet advantage for a task family.\nHarness: mini-SWE-agent 2.0.0, Linux shell, repository inspection and edits, existing tests and self-written reproductions; one fresh attempt, high native reasoning effort, 150 model calls and USD 5 inference limit. Final hidden tests are unavailable to the solver. No retry or inherited patch from another model.",
"empirical": false
}
}
}
},
"sonnet_opus_validation_regret_0.05": {
"selection": {
"key": "cap_sonnet_opus_research_none_0",
"definition_id": "cap_sonnet_opus_research",
"classifier": "cap",
"pair": "sonnet_opus",
"variant": "research",
"adjustment": "none",
"alpha": 0.0,
"boundary": {
"base_threshold": 0.72,
"threshold_step": 0.0
},
"validation": {
"quality": 0.65,
"capable_quality": 0.6666666666666666,
"quality_difference": -0.016666666666666666,
"cost": 6.104486446666665,
"capable_cost": 6.126236435416667,
"efficient_fraction": 0.03333333333333333,
"savings": 0.003550301882614515,
"solver_cost": 6.104119028333332,
"judge_cost": 0.00036741833333333326
},
"calibration_metrics": {
"efficient": {
"brier_against_task_rate": 0.12371333333333336,
"log_loss": 0.6694236897841436,
"mean_prediction": 0.5456666666666667,
"observed_mean": 0.5416666666666666
}
},
"validation_ids": [
"adaptix-name-mapping-aliases",
"arcane-drift-detection-baselines",
"arktype-json-schema-refs-dependencies",
"claude-code-by-agents-recursive-delegation",
"effect-sse-httpapi-streaming",
"goreleaser-retry-publish-auditing",
"gql-incremental-graphql-delivery",
"helm-array-merge-strategies",
"helm-unified-manifest-stream",
"ink-grid-box-layout",
"kgateway-consistent-hash-policy",
"narwhals-rolling-window-suite",
"obsidian-linter-auto-table-of-contents",
"obsidian-linter-link-format-conversion",
"obsidian-linter-scoped-ignore-markers",
"opa-rego-rule-profiling",
"opa-template-string-reconstruction",
"prometheus-transactional-reload-status",
"prometheus-typed-label-sorting",
"returns-validated-error-accumulation",
"sql-formatter-bigquery-pipe-formatting",
"sqlfmt-create-table-ddl-formatting",
"tengo-callable-instance-isolation",
"tengo-destructuring-bindings",
"testem-bail-on-test-failure",
"testem-per-launcher-reports",
"textual-kitty-key-phases",
"textual-richlog-follow-state",
"vitest-duration-sharding",
"ytt-jsonpath-query-api"
],
"cost_complete_tasks": 30,
"allowed_loss": 0.05,
"fitted": {
"efficient": {
"adjustment": "none",
"categories": [],
"coefficients": [
0.0,
1.0
],
"alpha": 0.0
}
}
},
"complexity_router_config": {
"classifier_type": "capability",
"classifier_llm_config": {
"model": "router-judge",
"timeout_ms": 30000,
"reasoning_effort": "low"
},
"tiers": {
"SIMPLE": [
"claude-sonnet-5"
],
"REASONING": [
"claude-opus-5"
]
},
"adaptive": false,
"route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier": false,
"escalation_keywords": [],
"plan_mode_min_tier": null,
"enable_context_window_escalation": false,
"return_raw_model_name": true,
"max_tokens_from_tier_model": false,
"capability_classifier_config": {
"efficient_tier": "SIMPLE",
"capable_tier": "REASONING",
"max_output_tokens": 2048,
"base_threshold": 0.72,
"threshold_step": 0.0,
"card": {
"version": "roi-20260914-cap_sonnet_opus_research",
"text": "- SUP-1 [supported]: A bounded transformation has explicit inputs, outputs and accessible checks covering its material requirements; merely mentioning tests does not establish coverage.\n- SUP-2 [supported]: Relevant repository state can be inspected and a localized repair mechanism can be verified; repository size, familiar terminology and file count are not difficulty proxies.\n- SUP-3 [supported]: Numerical or typed behavior has explicit interfaces, edge cases and tolerances, and the solver can validate the core computation; a test harness does not solve an unknown algorithm.\n- SUP-4 [supported]: The failure mechanism and search boundary are supplied or readily inspectable, and the requested change fits the configured solver; multiple mechanical edits need not require stronger reasoning.\n- SUP-5 [supported]: Behavioral reproduction has an accessible executable reference or complete specification covering edge cases; hidden grading alone is not such a reference.\n- UNC-1 [uncertain]: Material semantic choices or interacting invariants remain unresolved, so several plausible implementations could differ in correctness.\n- UNC-2 [uncertain]: The task requires completeness across coupled paths, asynchronous state, schemas or compatibility surfaces without a clear search boundary or sufficient visible coverage.\n- LIM-1 [unsupported]: Exact information must be recovered from noisy visual or temporal media without an available reliable extraction mechanism.\n- LIM-2 [unsupported]: Success requires inaccessible reference behavior, undocumented state or unknown configuration. Such obstacles may defeat either solver; unsupported does not imply capable success.\n\nConfigured solver: Claude Sonnet 5 at high effort is a general coding solver. Evaluate its fit to the actual mechanism and scope. Clear instructions and runnable tests help, but do not establish complete coverage or guarantee success. Large repository size alone is not difficult scope. Public research does not establish a universal Sonnet advantage for a task family.\nHarness: mini-SWE-agent 2.0.0, Linux shell, repository inspection and edits, existing tests and self-written reproductions; one fresh attempt, high native reasoning effort, 150 model calls and USD 5 inference limit. Final hidden tests are unavailable to the solver. No retry or inherited patch from another model.",
"empirical": false
}
}
}
},
"luna_sol_validation_regret_0": {
"selection": {
"key": "cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_100",
"definition_id": "cap_luna_sol_original",
"classifier": "cap",
"pair": "luna_sol",
"variant": "original",
"adjustment": "task_conditioned",
"alpha": 100.0,
"boundary": {
"base_threshold": 0.4565,
"threshold_step": 0.0
},
"validation": {
"quality": 0.6583333333333333,
"capable_quality": 0.6583333333333333,
"quality_difference": 0.0,
"cost": 2.7528806413333333,
"capable_cost": 3.619072949999999,
"efficient_fraction": 0.26666666666666666,
"savings": 0.2393409363761695,
"solver_cost": 2.7524850783333332,
"judge_cost": 0.000395563
},
"calibration_metrics": {
"efficient": {
"brier_against_task_rate": 0.10172270905056473,
"log_loss": 0.679881801698954,
"mean_prediction": 0.4539422735334361,
"observed_mean": 0.4166666666666667
}
},
"validation_ids": [
"adaptix-name-mapping-aliases",
"arcane-drift-detection-baselines",
"arktype-json-schema-refs-dependencies",
"claude-code-by-agents-recursive-delegation",
"effect-sse-httpapi-streaming",
"goreleaser-retry-publish-auditing",
"gql-incremental-graphql-delivery",
"helm-array-merge-strategies",
"helm-unified-manifest-stream",
"ink-grid-box-layout",
"kgateway-consistent-hash-policy",
"narwhals-rolling-window-suite",
"obsidian-linter-auto-table-of-contents",
"obsidian-linter-link-format-conversion",
"obsidian-linter-scoped-ignore-markers",
"opa-rego-rule-profiling",
"opa-template-string-reconstruction",
"prometheus-transactional-reload-status",
"prometheus-typed-label-sorting",
"returns-validated-error-accumulation",
"sql-formatter-bigquery-pipe-formatting",
"sqlfmt-create-table-ddl-formatting",
"tengo-callable-instance-isolation",
"tengo-destructuring-bindings",
"testem-bail-on-test-failure",
"testem-per-launcher-reports",
"textual-kitty-key-phases",
"textual-richlog-follow-state",
"vitest-duration-sharding",
"ytt-jsonpath-query-api"
],
"cost_complete_tasks": 30,
"allowed_loss": 0.0,
"fitted": {
"efficient": {
"adjustment": "task_conditioned",
"categories": [
"rule:SUP-1",
"rule:SUP-2",
"rule:SUP-3",
"rule:SUP-4",
"rule:UNC-1"
],
"coefficients": [
-0.21698217484765317,
0.05369117856329966,
0.005426200516531461,
0.016323471276039423,
-0.0055216963764245265,
-0.0035599589554351978,
-0.012683156629998152
],
"alpha": 100.0
}
}
},
"complexity_router_config": {
"classifier_type": "capability",
"classifier_llm_config": {
"model": "router-judge",
"timeout_ms": 30000,
"reasoning_effort": "low"
},
"tiers": {
"SIMPLE": [
"gpt-5.6-luna"
],
"REASONING": [
"gpt-5.6-sol"
]
},
"adaptive": false,
"route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier": false,
"escalation_keywords": [],
"plan_mode_min_tier": null,
"enable_context_window_escalation": false,
"return_raw_model_name": true,
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"capability_classifier_config": {
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"capable_tier": "REASONING",
"max_output_tokens": 2048,
"base_threshold": 0.4565,
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"calibration": {
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"intercept": -0.21698217484765317,
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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]
}
}
}
},
"luna_sol_validation_regret_0.02": {
"selection": {
"key": "cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_1",
"definition_id": "cap_luna_sol_original",
"classifier": "cap",
"pair": "luna_sol",
"variant": "original",
"adjustment": "task_conditioned",
"alpha": 1.0,
"boundary": {
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},
"validation": {
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"capable_quality": 0.6583333333333333,
"quality_difference": -0.008333333333333333,
"cost": 2.6019129496666666,
"capable_cost": 3.619072949999999,
"efficient_fraction": 0.3,
"savings": 0.2810554013102534,
"solver_cost": 2.6015173866666665,
"judge_cost": 0.000395563
},
"calibration_metrics": {
"efficient": {
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"log_loss": 0.6617986190278198,
"mean_prediction": 0.4511365170033098,
"observed_mean": 0.4166666666666667
}
},
"validation_ids": [
"adaptix-name-mapping-aliases",
"arcane-drift-detection-baselines",
"arktype-json-schema-refs-dependencies",
"claude-code-by-agents-recursive-delegation",
"effect-sse-httpapi-streaming",
"goreleaser-retry-publish-auditing",
"gql-incremental-graphql-delivery",
"helm-array-merge-strategies",
"helm-unified-manifest-stream",
"ink-grid-box-layout",
"kgateway-consistent-hash-policy",
"narwhals-rolling-window-suite",
"obsidian-linter-auto-table-of-contents",
"obsidian-linter-link-format-conversion",
"obsidian-linter-scoped-ignore-markers",
"opa-rego-rule-profiling",
"opa-template-string-reconstruction",
"prometheus-transactional-reload-status",
"prometheus-typed-label-sorting",
"returns-validated-error-accumulation",
"sql-formatter-bigquery-pipe-formatting",
"sqlfmt-create-table-ddl-formatting",
"tengo-callable-instance-isolation",
"tengo-destructuring-bindings",
"testem-bail-on-test-failure",
"testem-per-launcher-reports",
"textual-kitty-key-phases",
"textual-richlog-follow-state",
"vitest-duration-sharding",
"ytt-jsonpath-query-api"
],
"cost_complete_tasks": 30,
"allowed_loss": 0.02,
"fitted": {
"efficient": {
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"categories": [
"rule:SUP-1",
"rule:SUP-2",
"rule:SUP-3",
"rule:SUP-4",
"rule:UNC-1"
],
"coefficients": [
-0.19689766507927828,
1e-06,
0.4396371165678798,
0.2359832544627836,
-0.28112556928354754,
-0.03160395112846778,
-0.36291552915127334
],
"alpha": 1.0
}
}
},
"complexity_router_config": {
"classifier_type": "capability",
"classifier_llm_config": {
"model": "router-judge",
"timeout_ms": 30000,
"reasoning_effort": "low"
},
"tiers": {
"SIMPLE": [
"gpt-5.6-luna"
],
"REASONING": [
"gpt-5.6-sol"
]
},
"adaptive": false,
"route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier": false,
"escalation_keywords": [],
"plan_mode_min_tier": null,
"enable_context_window_escalation": false,
"return_raw_model_name": true,
"max_tokens_from_tier_model": false,
"capability_classifier_config": {
"efficient_tier": "SIMPLE",
"capable_tier": "REASONING",
"max_output_tokens": 2048,
"base_threshold": 0.5,
"threshold_step": 0.0,
"calibration": {
"version": "roi-20260914-cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_1",
"intercept": -0.19689766507927828,
"slope": 1e-06,
"rule_intercepts": [
{
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"intercept": 0.4396371165678798
},
{
"rule": "SUP-2",
"intercept": 0.2359832544627836
},
{
"rule": "SUP-3",
"intercept": -0.28112556928354754
},
{
"rule": "SUP-4",
"intercept": -0.03160395112846778
},
{
"rule": "UNC-1",
"intercept": -0.36291552915127334
}
]
}
}
}
},
"luna_sol_validation_regret_0.05": {
"selection": {
"key": "cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_10",
"definition_id": "cap_luna_sol_original",
"classifier": "cap",
"pair": "luna_sol",
"variant": "original",
"adjustment": "task_conditioned",
"alpha": 10.0,
"boundary": {
"base_threshold": 0.4544,
"threshold_step": 0.0
},
"validation": {
"quality": 0.6083333333333333,
"capable_quality": 0.6583333333333333,
"quality_difference": -0.05,
"cost": 2.4857286246666668,
"capable_cost": 3.619072949999999,
"efficient_fraction": 0.36666666666666664,
"savings": 0.3131587400948447,
"solver_cost": 2.4853330616666667,
"judge_cost": 0.000395563
},
"calibration_metrics": {
"efficient": {
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"log_loss": 0.6739552397112222,
"mean_prediction": 0.4550966860883911,
"observed_mean": 0.4166666666666667
}
},
"validation_ids": [
"adaptix-name-mapping-aliases",
"arcane-drift-detection-baselines",
"arktype-json-schema-refs-dependencies",
"claude-code-by-agents-recursive-delegation",
"effect-sse-httpapi-streaming",
"goreleaser-retry-publish-auditing",
"gql-incremental-graphql-delivery",
"helm-array-merge-strategies",
"helm-unified-manifest-stream",
"ink-grid-box-layout",
"kgateway-consistent-hash-policy",
"narwhals-rolling-window-suite",
"obsidian-linter-auto-table-of-contents",
"obsidian-linter-link-format-conversion",
"obsidian-linter-scoped-ignore-markers",
"opa-rego-rule-profiling",
"opa-template-string-reconstruction",
"prometheus-transactional-reload-status",
"prometheus-typed-label-sorting",
"returns-validated-error-accumulation",
"sql-formatter-bigquery-pipe-formatting",
"sqlfmt-create-table-ddl-formatting",
"tengo-callable-instance-isolation",
"tengo-destructuring-bindings",
"testem-bail-on-test-failure",
"testem-per-launcher-reports",
"textual-kitty-key-phases",
"textual-richlog-follow-state",
"vitest-duration-sharding",
"ytt-jsonpath-query-api"
],
"cost_complete_tasks": 30,
"allowed_loss": 0.05,
"fitted": {
"efficient": {
"adjustment": "task_conditioned",
"categories": [
"rule:SUP-1",
"rule:SUP-2",
"rule:SUP-3",
"rule:SUP-4",
"rule:UNC-1"
],
"coefficients": [
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0.08835222230098246,
0.05304867006758595,
0.10570907649489589,
-0.04989630727579947,
-0.015835812492558256,
-0.09302599921746896
],
"alpha": 10.0
}
}
},
"complexity_router_config": {
"classifier_type": "capability",
"classifier_llm_config": {
"model": "router-judge",
"timeout_ms": 30000,
"reasoning_effort": "low"
},
"tiers": {
"SIMPLE": [
"gpt-5.6-luna"
],
"REASONING": [
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]
},
"adaptive": false,
"route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier": false,
"escalation_keywords": [],
"plan_mode_min_tier": null,
"enable_context_window_escalation": false,
"return_raw_model_name": true,
"max_tokens_from_tier_model": false,
"capability_classifier_config": {
"efficient_tier": "SIMPLE",
"capable_tier": "REASONING",
"max_output_tokens": 2048,
"base_threshold": 0.4544,
"threshold_step": 0.0,
"calibration": {
"version": "roi-20260914-cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_10",
"intercept": -0.24175211398815877,
"slope": 0.08835222230098246,
"rule_intercepts": [
{
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"intercept": 0.05304867006758595
},
{
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"intercept": 0.10570907649489589
},
{
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},
{
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},
{
"rule": "UNC-1",
"intercept": -0.09302599921746896
}
]
}
}
}
}
}

View file

@ -0,0 +1,402 @@
model_list:
- model_name: router-judge
litellm_params:
model: openai/openai/gpt-5.6-luna
api_base: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_BASE_URL
api_key: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_API_KEY
reasoning_effort: low
- model_name: claude-sonnet-5
litellm_params:
model: openai/anthropic/claude-sonnet-5
api_base: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_BASE_URL
api_key: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_API_KEY
reasoning_effort: high
- model_name: claude-opus-5
litellm_params:
model: openai/anthropic/claude-opus-5
api_base: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_BASE_URL
api_key: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_API_KEY
reasoning_effort: high
- model_name: gpt-5.6-luna
litellm_params:
model: openai/openai/gpt-5.6-luna
api_base: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_BASE_URL
api_key: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_API_KEY
reasoning_effort: high
- model_name: gpt-5.6-sol
litellm_params:
model: openai/openai/gpt-5.6-sol
api_base: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_BASE_URL
api_key: os.environ/ROI_GATEWAY_API_KEY
reasoning_effort: high
- model_name: roi-sonnet-opus-validation-regret-0
litellm_params:
model: auto_router/complexity_router
complexity_router_config:
classifier_type: capability
classifier_llm_config:
model: router-judge
timeout_ms: 30000
reasoning_effort: low
tiers:
SIMPLE:
- claude-sonnet-5
REASONING:
- claude-opus-5
adaptive: false
route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier: false
escalation_keywords: []
plan_mode_min_tier: null
enable_context_window_escalation: false
return_raw_model_name: true
max_tokens_from_tier_model: false
capability_classifier_config:
efficient_tier: SIMPLE
capable_tier: REASONING
max_output_tokens: 2048
base_threshold: 0.5
threshold_step: 0.0
card:
version: roi-20260914-cap_sonnet_opus_trained_card
text: '- SUP-1 [supported]: A bounded transformation has explicit inputs,
outputs and accessible checks covering its material requirements; merely
mentioning tests does not establish coverage.
- SUP-2 [supported]: Relevant repository state can be inspected and a
localized repair mechanism can be verified; repository size, familiar
terminology and file count are not difficulty proxies.
- SUP-3 [supported]: Numerical or typed behavior has explicit interfaces,
edge cases and tolerances, and the solver can validate the core computation;
a test harness does not solve an unknown algorithm.
- SUP-4 [supported]: The failure mechanism and search boundary are supplied
or readily inspectable, and the requested change fits the configured solver;
multiple mechanical edits need not require stronger reasoning.
- SUP-5 [supported]: Behavioral reproduction has an accessible executable
reference or complete specification covering edge cases; hidden grading
alone is not such a reference.
- UNC-1 [uncertain]: Material semantic choices or interacting invariants
remain unresolved, so several plausible implementations could differ in
correctness.
- UNC-2 [uncertain]: The task requires completeness across coupled paths,
asynchronous state, schemas or compatibility surfaces without a clear
search boundary or sufficient visible coverage.
- LIM-1 [unsupported]: Exact information must be recovered from noisy
visual or temporal media without an available reliable extraction mechanism.
- LIM-2 [unsupported]: Success requires inaccessible reference behavior,
undocumented state or unknown configuration. Such obstacles may defeat
either solver; unsupported does not imply capable success.
Configured solver: Claude Sonnet 5 at high effort is a general coding
solver. Evaluate its fit to the actual mechanism and scope. Clear instructions
and runnable tests help, but do not establish complete coverage or guarantee
success. Large repository size alone is not difficult scope. Public research
does not establish a universal Sonnet advantage for a task family.
Training evidence: 83 distinct DeepSWE tasks, repeated attempts averaged
within task; mean success 0.461. go: 23 tasks, success estimate shrunk
toward the overall mean 0.425. python: 27 tasks, success estimate shrunk
toward the overall mean 0.477. rust: 5 tasks, success estimate shrunk
toward the overall mean 0.437. typescript: 25 tasks, success estimate
shrunk toward the overall mean 0.483. These are task-family priors from
a different budget/configuration, not the probability for this request.
Use visible demands to update them. Do not identify or recall a benchmark
task or its published answer.
Harness: mini-SWE-agent 2.0.0, Linux shell, repository inspection and
edits, existing tests and self-written reproductions; one fresh attempt,
high native reasoning effort, 150 model calls and USD 5 inference limit.
Final hidden tests are unavailable to the solver. No retry or inherited
patch from another model.'
empirical: true
- model_name: roi-sonnet-opus-validation-regret-0p02
litellm_params:
model: auto_router/complexity_router
complexity_router_config:
classifier_type: capability
classifier_llm_config:
model: router-judge
timeout_ms: 30000
reasoning_effort: low
tiers:
SIMPLE:
- claude-sonnet-5
REASONING:
- claude-opus-5
adaptive: false
route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier: false
escalation_keywords: []
plan_mode_min_tier: null
enable_context_window_escalation: false
return_raw_model_name: true
max_tokens_from_tier_model: false
capability_classifier_config:
efficient_tier: SIMPLE
capable_tier: REASONING
max_output_tokens: 2048
base_threshold: 0.72
threshold_step: 0.0
card:
version: roi-20260914-cap_sonnet_opus_research
text: '- SUP-1 [supported]: A bounded transformation has explicit inputs,
outputs and accessible checks covering its material requirements; merely
mentioning tests does not establish coverage.
- SUP-2 [supported]: Relevant repository state can be inspected and a
localized repair mechanism can be verified; repository size, familiar
terminology and file count are not difficulty proxies.
- SUP-3 [supported]: Numerical or typed behavior has explicit interfaces,
edge cases and tolerances, and the solver can validate the core computation;
a test harness does not solve an unknown algorithm.
- SUP-4 [supported]: The failure mechanism and search boundary are supplied
or readily inspectable, and the requested change fits the configured solver;
multiple mechanical edits need not require stronger reasoning.
- SUP-5 [supported]: Behavioral reproduction has an accessible executable
reference or complete specification covering edge cases; hidden grading
alone is not such a reference.
- UNC-1 [uncertain]: Material semantic choices or interacting invariants
remain unresolved, so several plausible implementations could differ in
correctness.
- UNC-2 [uncertain]: The task requires completeness across coupled paths,
asynchronous state, schemas or compatibility surfaces without a clear
search boundary or sufficient visible coverage.
- LIM-1 [unsupported]: Exact information must be recovered from noisy
visual or temporal media without an available reliable extraction mechanism.
- LIM-2 [unsupported]: Success requires inaccessible reference behavior,
undocumented state or unknown configuration. Such obstacles may defeat
either solver; unsupported does not imply capable success.
Configured solver: Claude Sonnet 5 at high effort is a general coding
solver. Evaluate its fit to the actual mechanism and scope. Clear instructions
and runnable tests help, but do not establish complete coverage or guarantee
success. Large repository size alone is not difficult scope. Public research
does not establish a universal Sonnet advantage for a task family.
Harness: mini-SWE-agent 2.0.0, Linux shell, repository inspection and
edits, existing tests and self-written reproductions; one fresh attempt,
high native reasoning effort, 150 model calls and USD 5 inference limit.
Final hidden tests are unavailable to the solver. No retry or inherited
patch from another model.'
empirical: false
- model_name: roi-sonnet-opus-validation-regret-0p05
litellm_params:
model: auto_router/complexity_router
complexity_router_config:
classifier_type: capability
classifier_llm_config:
model: router-judge
timeout_ms: 30000
reasoning_effort: low
tiers:
SIMPLE:
- claude-sonnet-5
REASONING:
- claude-opus-5
adaptive: false
route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier: false
escalation_keywords: []
plan_mode_min_tier: null
enable_context_window_escalation: false
return_raw_model_name: true
max_tokens_from_tier_model: false
capability_classifier_config:
efficient_tier: SIMPLE
capable_tier: REASONING
max_output_tokens: 2048
base_threshold: 0.72
threshold_step: 0.0
card:
version: roi-20260914-cap_sonnet_opus_research
text: '- SUP-1 [supported]: A bounded transformation has explicit inputs,
outputs and accessible checks covering its material requirements; merely
mentioning tests does not establish coverage.
- SUP-2 [supported]: Relevant repository state can be inspected and a
localized repair mechanism can be verified; repository size, familiar
terminology and file count are not difficulty proxies.
- SUP-3 [supported]: Numerical or typed behavior has explicit interfaces,
edge cases and tolerances, and the solver can validate the core computation;
a test harness does not solve an unknown algorithm.
- SUP-4 [supported]: The failure mechanism and search boundary are supplied
or readily inspectable, and the requested change fits the configured solver;
multiple mechanical edits need not require stronger reasoning.
- SUP-5 [supported]: Behavioral reproduction has an accessible executable
reference or complete specification covering edge cases; hidden grading
alone is not such a reference.
- UNC-1 [uncertain]: Material semantic choices or interacting invariants
remain unresolved, so several plausible implementations could differ in
correctness.
- UNC-2 [uncertain]: The task requires completeness across coupled paths,
asynchronous state, schemas or compatibility surfaces without a clear
search boundary or sufficient visible coverage.
- LIM-1 [unsupported]: Exact information must be recovered from noisy
visual or temporal media without an available reliable extraction mechanism.
- LIM-2 [unsupported]: Success requires inaccessible reference behavior,
undocumented state or unknown configuration. Such obstacles may defeat
either solver; unsupported does not imply capable success.
Configured solver: Claude Sonnet 5 at high effort is a general coding
solver. Evaluate its fit to the actual mechanism and scope. Clear instructions
and runnable tests help, but do not establish complete coverage or guarantee
success. Large repository size alone is not difficult scope. Public research
does not establish a universal Sonnet advantage for a task family.
Harness: mini-SWE-agent 2.0.0, Linux shell, repository inspection and
edits, existing tests and self-written reproductions; one fresh attempt,
high native reasoning effort, 150 model calls and USD 5 inference limit.
Final hidden tests are unavailable to the solver. No retry or inherited
patch from another model.'
empirical: false
- model_name: roi-luna-sol-validation-regret-0
litellm_params:
model: auto_router/complexity_router
complexity_router_config:
classifier_type: capability
classifier_llm_config:
model: router-judge
timeout_ms: 30000
reasoning_effort: low
tiers:
SIMPLE:
- gpt-5.6-luna
REASONING:
- gpt-5.6-sol
adaptive: false
route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier: false
escalation_keywords: []
plan_mode_min_tier: null
enable_context_window_escalation: false
return_raw_model_name: true
max_tokens_from_tier_model: false
capability_classifier_config:
efficient_tier: SIMPLE
capable_tier: REASONING
max_output_tokens: 2048
base_threshold: 0.4565
threshold_step: 0.0
calibration:
version: roi-20260914-cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_100
intercept: -0.21698217484765317
slope: 0.05369117856329966
rule_intercepts:
- rule: SUP-1
intercept: 0.005426200516531461
- rule: SUP-2
intercept: 0.016323471276039423
- rule: SUP-3
intercept: -0.0055216963764245265
- rule: SUP-4
intercept: -0.0035599589554351978
- rule: UNC-1
intercept: -0.012683156629998152
- model_name: roi-luna-sol-validation-regret-0p02
litellm_params:
model: auto_router/complexity_router
complexity_router_config:
classifier_type: capability
classifier_llm_config:
model: router-judge
timeout_ms: 30000
reasoning_effort: low
tiers:
SIMPLE:
- gpt-5.6-luna
REASONING:
- gpt-5.6-sol
adaptive: false
route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier: false
escalation_keywords: []
plan_mode_min_tier: null
enable_context_window_escalation: false
return_raw_model_name: true
max_tokens_from_tier_model: false
capability_classifier_config:
efficient_tier: SIMPLE
capable_tier: REASONING
max_output_tokens: 2048
base_threshold: 0.5
threshold_step: 0.0
calibration:
version: roi-20260914-cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_1
intercept: -0.19689766507927828
slope: 1.0e-06
rule_intercepts:
- rule: SUP-1
intercept: 0.4396371165678798
- rule: SUP-2
intercept: 0.2359832544627836
- rule: SUP-3
intercept: -0.28112556928354754
- rule: SUP-4
intercept: -0.03160395112846778
- rule: UNC-1
intercept: -0.36291552915127334
- model_name: roi-luna-sol-validation-regret-0p05
litellm_params:
model: auto_router/complexity_router
complexity_router_config:
classifier_type: capability
classifier_llm_config:
model: router-judge
timeout_ms: 30000
reasoning_effort: low
tiers:
SIMPLE:
- gpt-5.6-luna
REASONING:
- gpt-5.6-sol
adaptive: false
route_housekeeping_to_cheapest_tier: false
escalation_keywords: []
plan_mode_min_tier: null
enable_context_window_escalation: false
return_raw_model_name: true
max_tokens_from_tier_model: false
capability_classifier_config:
efficient_tier: SIMPLE
capable_tier: REASONING
max_output_tokens: 2048
base_threshold: 0.4544
threshold_step: 0.0
calibration:
version: roi-20260914-cap_luna_sol_original_task_conditioned_10
intercept: -0.24175211398815877
slope: 0.08835222230098246
rule_intercepts:
- rule: SUP-1
intercept: 0.05304867006758595
- rule: SUP-2
intercept: 0.10570907649489589
- rule: SUP-3
intercept: -0.04989630727579947
- rule: SUP-4
intercept: -0.015835812492558256
- rule: UNC-1
intercept: -0.09302599921746896
general_settings:
master_key: os.environ/ROI_LOCAL_MASTER_KEY
litellm_settings:
turn_off_message_logging: true

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View file

@ -18968,7 +18968,7 @@
}
}
},
"description": "\n Unified rate-limit error.\n\n Every rate-limit condition surfaced by litellm \u2014 whether it originated from\n an upstream LLM provider, a vendor batch endpoint, or one of litellm's own\n proxy-side limiters (parallel-requests, dynamic-rate, batch-rate, budget,\n max-iterations, etc.) \u2014 is raised as an instance of this class.\n\n The :attr:`category` attribute lets callers distinguish the source. See\n :class:`RateLimitErrorCategory` for the available values.\n "
"description": "\nUnified rate-limit error.\n\nEvery rate-limit condition surfaced by litellm \u2014 whether it originated from\nan upstream LLM provider, a vendor batch endpoint, or one of litellm's own\nproxy-side limiters (parallel-requests, dynamic-rate, batch-rate, budget,\nmax-iterations, etc.) \u2014 is raised as an instance of this class.\n\nThe :attr:`category` attribute lets callers distinguish the source. See\n:class:`RateLimitErrorCategory` for the available values.\n"
},
"500": {
"content": {

View file

@ -191,12 +191,32 @@ def capability_classifier_response_format(
)
def capability_classifier_system_prompt(mode: Literal["json_schema", "json_object"]) -> str:
def capability_classifier_system_prompt(
mode: Literal["json_schema", "json_object"], *, card: str | None = None, empirical: bool = False
) -> str:
prefix: Final = CAPABILITY_CLASSIFIER_SYSTEM_PROMPT.split("# Efficient-agent capability card")[0]
evidence_prefix: Final = (
prefix.replace(
"The capability card is qualitative evidence, not a measured prior.",
"Only explicitly supplied training counts are measured evidence; preserve their scope and uncertainty.",
)
if empirical
else prefix
)
prompt: Final = (
evidence_prefix
+ "# Efficient-agent capability card\n\n"
+ card
+ "\n\n# Output"
+ CAPABILITY_CLASSIFIER_SYSTEM_PROMPT.split("# Output")[1]
if card is not None
else CAPABILITY_CLASSIFIER_SYSTEM_PROMPT
)
if mode == "json_schema":
return CAPABILITY_CLASSIFIER_SYSTEM_PROMPT
return prompt
wrapper: Final = _RESPONSE_FORMAT_ADAPTER.validate_python(capability_classifier_response_format()["json_schema"])
return (
CAPABILITY_CLASSIFIER_SYSTEM_PROMPT
prompt
+ "\n\nReturn exactly one JSON object matching this JSON Schema:\n"
+ json.dumps(wrapper["schema"], indent=2, sort_keys=True)
)

View file

@ -1338,7 +1338,11 @@ class ComplexityRouter(CustomLogger):
if self.config.classifier_type == "capability":
capability: Final = self.config.capability_classifier_config
return capability_classifier_system_prompt(
capability.response_format if capability is not None else "json_schema"
capability.response_format if capability is not None else "json_schema",
card=capability.card.text if capability is not None and capability.card is not None else None,
empirical=capability.card.empirical
if capability is not None and capability.card is not None
else False,
)
definitions: Final = self.config.tier_definitions
if definitions is not None:
@ -2238,7 +2242,9 @@ class ComplexityRouter(CustomLogger):
forecast: Final = CapabilityClassifierForecast(
verdict=verdict,
threshold=threshold,
p_solve=calibration.calibrate(verdict.p_solve) if calibration is not None else verdict.p_solve,
p_solve=calibration.calibrate(verdict.p_solve, verdict.primary_rule)
if calibration is not None
else verdict.p_solve,
calibration_version=calibration.version if calibration is not None else None,
)
selected_tier: Final = (

View file

@ -32,6 +32,7 @@ with warnings.catch_warnings():
from litellm.types.llms.openai import REASONING_EFFORT
from litellm.types.router import AdaptiveRouterWeights, ClassifierPlugin, RoutingPlugin
from .capability_classifier import CapabilityRule
from .tier_predictor import TrainedTierArtifact
@ -600,16 +601,39 @@ class ClassifierLLMConfig(BaseModel):
return self
class CapabilityRuleCalibration(BaseModel):
model_config = ConfigDict(extra="forbid", frozen=True)
rule: CapabilityRule
intercept: StrictFloat = Field(ge=-5.0, le=5.0, allow_inf_nan=False)
class CapabilityCardConfig(BaseModel):
model_config = ConfigDict(extra="forbid", frozen=True)
version: str = Field(min_length=1, max_length=128, pattern=r"^\S(?:.*\S)?$")
text: str = Field(min_length=1, max_length=8000, pattern=r"\S")
empirical: bool = False
class CapabilityCalibrationConfig(BaseModel):
model_config = ConfigDict(extra="forbid", frozen=True)
version: str = Field(min_length=1, max_length=128, pattern=r"^\S(?:.*\S)?$")
slope: StrictFloat = Field(ge=0.0, le=20.0, allow_inf_nan=False)
intercept: StrictFloat = Field(ge=-20.0, le=20.0, allow_inf_nan=False)
rule_intercepts: tuple[CapabilityRuleCalibration, ...] = Field(default=(), max_length=10)
def calibrate(self, p_solve: float) -> float:
@model_validator(mode="after")
def _validate_unique_rules(self) -> "CapabilityCalibrationConfig":
if len(frozenset(offset.rule for offset in self.rule_intercepts)) != len(self.rule_intercepts):
raise ValueError("rule_intercepts must contain unique capability rules")
return self
def calibrate(self, p_solve: float, rule: CapabilityRule = "none") -> float:
clipped: Final = min(max(p_solve, 1e-6), 1.0 - 1e-6)
log_odds: Final = self.slope * (math.log(clipped) - math.log1p(-clipped)) + self.intercept
adjustment: Final = sum(offset.intercept for offset in self.rule_intercepts if offset.rule == rule)
log_odds: Final = self.slope * (math.log(clipped) - math.log1p(-clipped)) + self.intercept + adjustment
return 1.0 / (1.0 + math.exp(-log_odds))
@ -617,6 +641,7 @@ class CapabilityClassifierConfig(BaseModel):
"""Switchyard-compatible probability threshold policy for two model tiers."""
model_config = ConfigDict(frozen=True)
card: CapabilityCardConfig | None = None
efficient_tier: str = Field(
description="Tier used when the efficient model's forecasted solve probability meets the adjusted threshold",

View file

@ -2407,6 +2407,33 @@ def _capability_reply(
class TestCapabilityClassifierConfig:
@pytest.mark.parametrize(
"offsets",
(
[{"rule": "SUP-1", "intercept": 1.0}] * 2,
[{"rule": "invented", "intercept": 1.0}],
[{"rule": "SUP-1", "intercept": float("nan")}],
),
)
def test_rejects_invalid_rule_offsets(self, offsets: list[dict[str, object]]) -> None:
with pytest.raises(ValidationError):
CapabilityCalibrationConfig.model_validate(
{"version": "rules-v1", "slope": 1.0, "intercept": 0.0, "rule_intercepts": offsets}
)
def test_rule_adjustments_match_only_the_active_rule_after_round_trip(self) -> None:
calibration: Final = CapabilityCalibrationConfig.model_validate(
{
"version": "rules-v1",
"slope": 1.0,
"intercept": 0.0,
"rule_intercepts": [{"rule": "UNC-2", "intercept": -2.0}],
}
)
restored: Final = CapabilityCalibrationConfig.model_validate_json(calibration.model_dump_json())
assert restored.calibrate(0.9, "UNC-2") == pytest.approx(0.5491469396)
assert restored.calibrate(0.9, "SUP-1") == pytest.approx(0.9)
@pytest.mark.parametrize(
"calibration",
(
@ -2575,6 +2602,47 @@ class TestCapabilityClassifier:
complexity_router_config=_capability_router_config(**overrides),
)
@pytest.mark.asyncio
async def test_trained_card_and_rule_adjustment_reach_the_live_routing_policy(
self, mock_router_instance: MagicMock
) -> None:
mock_router_instance.acompletion = AsyncMock(
return_value=_llm_response(
_capability_reply(p_solve=0.9, primary_rule="UNC-2", capability_boundary="uncertain")
)
)
router: Final = self._router(
mock_router_instance,
capability_classifier_config={
"efficient_tier": "SIMPLE",
"capable_tier": "REASONING",
"base_threshold": 0.6,
"card": {
"version": "test-card-v1",
"text": "UNC-2 [uncertain]: Coupled changes need inspection",
"empirical": True,
},
"calibration": {
"version": "rules-v1",
"slope": 1.0,
"intercept": 0.0,
"rule_intercepts": [{"rule": "UNC-2", "intercept": -2.0}],
},
},
)
result: Final = await router.async_pre_routing_hook(
model="capability-router", request_kwargs={}, messages=[{"role": "user", "content": "Fix the issue"}]
)
assert result is not None and result.model == "capable-model"
assert result.routing_decision is not None
assert result.routing_decision["classifier_p_solve"] == 0.9
assert result.routing_decision["classifier_calibrated_p_solve"] == pytest.approx(0.5491469396)
sent: Final = mock_router_instance.acompletion.call_args.kwargs["messages"][0]["content"]
assert "Coupled changes need inspection" in sent
assert "Only explicitly supplied training counts" in sent
assert "Route to the Efficient model" not in sent
mock_router_instance.acompletion.assert_awaited_once()
@pytest.mark.asyncio
@pytest.mark.parametrize("p_solve,expected_model", ((0.95, "capable-model"), (0.98, "efficient-model")))
async def test_fitted_probability_controls_routing_and_preserves_raw_score(

View file

@ -24907,11 +24907,28 @@ export interface components {
CapabilityCalibrationConfig: {
/** Intercept */
intercept: number;
/**
* Rule Intercepts
* @default []
*/
rule_intercepts: components["schemas"]["CapabilityRuleCalibration"][];
/** Slope */
slope: number;
/** Version */
version: string;
};
/** CapabilityCardConfig */
CapabilityCardConfig: {
/**
* Empirical
* @default false
*/
empirical: boolean;
/** Text */
text: string;
/** Version */
version: string;
};
/**
* CapabilityClassifierConfig
* @description Switchyard-compatible probability threshold policy for two model tiers.
@ -24929,6 +24946,7 @@ export interface components {
* @description Higher, fail-closed tier used below the adjusted threshold or when the classifier verdict is unavailable
*/
capable_tier: string;
card?: components["schemas"]["CapabilityCardConfig"] | null;
/**
* Efficient Tier
* @description Tier used when the efficient model's forecasted solve probability meets the adjusted threshold
@ -24954,6 +24972,16 @@ export interface components {
*/
threshold_step: number;
};
/** CapabilityRuleCalibration */
CapabilityRuleCalibration: {
/** Intercept */
intercept: number;
/**
* Rule
* @enum {string}
*/
rule: "SUP-1" | "SUP-2" | "SUP-3" | "SUP-4" | "SUP-5" | "UNC-1" | "UNC-2" | "LIM-1" | "LIM-2" | "none";
};
/** ChatCompletionAnnotation */
ChatCompletionAnnotation: {
/**