diff --git a/litellm/proxy/db/db_spend_update_writer.py b/litellm/proxy/db/db_spend_update_writer.py
index b2e6f9dc54d..e9967fb0d67 100644
--- a/litellm/proxy/db/db_spend_update_writer.py
+++ b/litellm/proxy/db/db_spend_update_writer.py
@@ -31,6 +31,7 @@ from litellm.constants import (
 from litellm.litellm_core_utils.litellm_logging import coerce_model_access_groups
 from litellm.litellm_core_utils.safe_json_loads import safe_json_loads
 from litellm.proxy._types import (
+    DB_CONNECTION_ERROR_TYPES,
     DB_RETRY_SAFE_ERROR_TYPES,
     BaseDailySpendTransaction,
     DailyAgentSpendTransaction,
@@ -64,6 +65,7 @@ from litellm.proxy.db.db_transaction_queue.window_spend_update_queue import (
     WindowSpendTransaction,
     WindowSpendUpdateQueue,
 )
+from litellm.proxy.db.exception_handler import PrismaDBExceptionHandler
 from litellm.proxy.route_llm_request import ROUTE_ENDPOINT_MAPPING
 from litellm.proxy.spend_tracking.compression_savings import (
     extract_compression_saved_tokens,
@@ -157,6 +159,16 @@ class _DailySpendCommit(Protocol[_DailySpendTransactionT]):
     ) -> None: ...
 
 
+_DATA_REJECTED_SQLSTATE_CLASSES: Final = frozenset({"22", "23"})
+
+
+def _daily_spend_commit_failure_is_requeue_safe(e: Exception) -> bool:
+    if isinstance(e, DB_CONNECTION_ERROR_TYPES):
+        return isinstance(e, DB_RETRY_SAFE_ERROR_TYPES)
+    sqlstate: Final = PrismaDBExceptionHandler.postgres_sqlstate(e)
+    return sqlstate is None or sqlstate[:2] not in _DATA_REJECTED_SQLSTATE_CLASSES
+
+
 def _timed_request_duration_ms(
     payload: dict | SpendLogsPayload,
     request_status: Literal["success", "failure"],
@@ -1319,7 +1331,17 @@ class DBSpendUpdateWriter:
                 proxy_logging_obj=proxy_logging_obj,
                 daily_spend_transactions=cast(dict[str, _DailySpendTransactionT], transactions),
             )
-        except Exception as e:  # noqa: BLE001  # the uncommitted rows go back on the queue; the other tables must still flush
+        except Exception as e:  # noqa: BLE001  # whatever failed here, the other tables must still flush
+            if not _daily_spend_commit_failure_is_requeue_safe(e):
+                spend_log_error(
+                    "Spend tracking - dropped %d daily %s spend rows: the failed commit may have applied "
+                    "or the database refused the data, so re-sending it is not safe. Error: %s",
+                    len(transactions),
+                    entity_type,
+                    str(e),
+                    exc=e,
+                )
+                return
             spend_log_error(
                 "Spend tracking - failed to commit daily %s spend updates. "
                 "Re-queued %d rows for retry on next tick. Error: %s",
diff --git a/litellm/proxy/db/exception_handler.py b/litellm/proxy/db/exception_handler.py
index 2cee5128c66..460bf5db3b1 100644
--- a/litellm/proxy/db/exception_handler.py
+++ b/litellm/proxy/db/exception_handler.py
@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
 from collections.abc import Awaitable, Callable, Iterator
 from typing import Any, Final, TypeVar
 
+from pydantic import TypeAdapter, ValidationError
+
 from litellm._logging import verbose_proxy_logger
 from litellm.proxy._types import (
     DB_CONNECTION_ERROR_TYPES,
@@ -17,6 +19,8 @@ _TRANSIENT_DB_UNAVAILABLE_MESSAGE: Final = (
     "Service Unavailable, the authentication database is temporarily unreachable. Please retry shortly."
 )
 
+_DATABASE_ERROR_META: Final = TypeAdapter(dict[str, object])
+
 
 def _exception_chain(e: BaseException) -> Iterator[BaseException]:
     current = e  # rebind-ok: advances one link per iteration of the bounded walk
@@ -221,6 +225,20 @@ class PrismaDBExceptionHandler:
             or "write conflict or a deadlock" in error_message
         )
 
+    @staticmethod
+    def postgres_sqlstate(e: Exception) -> str | None:
+        """The SQLSTATE Postgres attached to a failed statement, as prisma surfaces it, or None."""
+        import prisma
+
+        if not isinstance(e, _exception_types(prisma.errors.DataError)):
+            return None
+        try:
+            meta: Final = _DATABASE_ERROR_META.validate_python(getattr(e, "meta", None))
+        except ValidationError:
+            return None
+        code: Final = meta.get("code")
+        return code if isinstance(code, str) else None
+
     @staticmethod
     def is_read_only_transaction_error(e: Exception) -> bool:
         """True iff ``e`` is Postgres SQLSTATE 25006 surfaced through prisma: the
diff --git a/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_db_spend_update_writer.py b/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_db_spend_update_writer.py
index b27b838133b..155bca656d5 100644
--- a/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_db_spend_update_writer.py
+++ b/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_db_spend_update_writer.py
@@ -11,7 +11,9 @@ from types import SimpleNamespace
 from typing import Final
 from unittest.mock import AsyncMock, MagicMock, call, patch
 
+import httpx
 import pytest
+from prisma.errors import RawQueryError
 from redis.exceptions import DataError
 
 import litellm
@@ -2812,14 +2814,15 @@ async def test_failed_window_spend_commit_requeues_the_increments_and_continues_
 class _DailySpendFakeDB(_WindowSpendFakeDB):
     """Records the daily rollup upserts it is handed and fails the ones aimed at one table."""
 
-    def __init__(self, failing_table: str | None) -> None:
+    def __init__(self, failing_table: str | None, failure: Exception | None = None) -> None:
         super().__init__()
         self.failing_table = failing_table
+        self.failure = failure
         self.execute_raw_calls: list[Statement] = []
 
     async def execute_raw(self, query: str, *args: object) -> int:
         if self.failing_table is not None and self.failing_table in query:
-            raise Exception("connection reset")
+            raise self.failure if self.failure is not None else Exception("connection reset")
         self.execute_raw_calls.append((query, args))
         return len(args)
 
@@ -2828,6 +2831,50 @@ def _daily_upserts(db: _DailySpendFakeDB, table: str) -> list[Statement]:
     return [statement for statement in db.execute_raw_calls if table in statement[0]]
 
 
+def _postgres_rejection(sqlstate: str) -> RawQueryError:
+    return RawQueryError(
+        data={"user_facing_error": {"error_code": "P2010", "meta": {"code": sqlstate, "message": "db error"}}}
+    )
+
+
+@pytest.mark.parametrize(
+    ("failure", "lands_on_the_next_tick"),
+    [
+        pytest.param(httpx.ReadTimeout("no reply"), False, id="reply lost after the statement was sent"),
+        pytest.param(httpx.ConnectError("refused"), True, id="statement never reached the database"),
+        pytest.param(_postgres_rejection("22021"), False, id="postgres refused the data itself"),
+        pytest.param(_postgres_rejection("23502"), False, id="postgres refused a constraint violation"),
+        pytest.param(_postgres_rejection("42P01"), True, id="table missing"),
+        pytest.param(_postgres_rejection("57014"), True, id="statement cancelled"),
+    ],
+)
+@pytest.mark.asyncio
+async def test_failed_daily_spend_commit_is_requeued_only_when_the_rows_are_provably_uncommitted(
+    failure: Exception, lands_on_the_next_tick: bool
+):
+    """A lost reply means the statement may already have applied, and re-sending it stacks a
+    second increment into the same transaction (LIT-4823); a row Postgres refuses would fail
+    every tick forever. Both are dropped loudly. Every other failure left nothing committed,
+    so its rows go back on the queue and land on the next tick."""
+    db_writer = DBSpendUpdateWriter()
+    await db_writer.daily_spend_update_queue.add_update({"user-key": _daily_txn(user_id="user-1")})
+    db = _DailySpendFakeDB(failing_table="LiteLLM_DailyUserSpend", failure=failure)
+    db_writer._flush_tool_discovery_queue = AsyncMock()
+    proxy_logging_obj = MagicMock()
+    proxy_logging_obj.failure_handler = AsyncMock()
+
+    await db_writer._commit_spend_updates_to_db_without_redis_buffer(
+        prisma_client=_WindowSpendFakePrisma(db), n_retry_times=0, proxy_logging_obj=proxy_logging_obj
+    )
+    db.failing_table = None
+    await db_writer._commit_spend_updates_to_db_without_redis_buffer(
+        prisma_client=_WindowSpendFakePrisma(db), n_retry_times=0, proxy_logging_obj=proxy_logging_obj
+    )
+
+    assert len(_daily_upserts(db, "LiteLLM_DailyUserSpend")) == (1 if lands_on_the_next_tick else 0)
+    assert db_writer.daily_spend_update_queue.update_queue.empty()
+
+
 @pytest.mark.asyncio
 async def test_failed_daily_spend_commit_requeues_the_rows_and_flushes_the_other_tables():
     """With the Redis buffer off, a daily batch that failed to commit was discarded along
diff --git a/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_exception_handler.py b/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_exception_handler.py
index 3f009137a1c..26ac1ea65ad 100644
--- a/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_exception_handler.py
+++ b/tests/test_litellm/proxy/db/test_exception_handler.py
@@ -665,6 +665,28 @@ def test_is_deadlock_error_excludes_non_deadlocks(error):
     assert PrismaDBExceptionHandler.is_deadlock_error(error) is False
 
 
+@pytest.mark.parametrize(
+    ("error", "sqlstate"),
+    [
+        (
+            RawQueryError(
+                data={"user_facing_error": {"error_code": "P2010", "meta": {"code": "22021", "message": "m"}}}
+            ),
+            "22021",
+        ),
+        (RawQueryError(data={"user_facing_error": {"error_code": "P2010", "meta": {"message": "m"}}}), None),
+        (RawQueryError(data={"user_facing_error": {"error_code": "P2010", "meta": {"code": 42, "message": "m"}}}), None),
+        (prisma_errors.DataError(data={"user_facing_error": {"meta": None}}), None),
+        (PrismaError("db error"), None),
+        (httpx.ReadTimeout("no reply"), None),
+    ],
+)
+def test_postgres_sqlstate_reads_the_code_prisma_attached_to_the_failed_statement(error, sqlstate):
+    """Only a prisma data error carrying Postgres's own error code yields a SQLSTATE; a
+    codeless or malformed payload, an engine-level error, and a transport error yield None."""
+    assert PrismaDBExceptionHandler.postgres_sqlstate(error) == sqlstate
+
+
 READ_ONLY_CONNECTOR_ERROR: Final = (
     "Error occurred during query execution:\nConnectorError(ConnectorError { user_facing_error: None, "
     'kind: QueryError(PostgresError { code: "25006", message: "cannot execute UPDATE in a read-only transaction", '